Teams with Lock status have at least a 95% chance to make the tournament, according to the BPI forecast. (Yes, this means that 5% of the time, a team marked as a lock will miss the tourney. We set the threshold there as a nod to the traditional standard for significance testing.)

It's time for March Madness! The 2025 NCAA Division I Basketball Tournament will see the finest young hoopers test their skills—and represent their colleges—across the country. 68 teams enter the competition,