SportsLine's model simulated the 2025 Truist Championship 10,000 times and revealed its PGA Tour golf picks for Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, and more

With zero top-five finishes in 2025, Davis Thompson simply feels a tad overpriced in a signature event. I also prefer Thompson on golf courses where it is easier to separate with the driver, as Thompson is by no means an elite wedge player or putter from five to 15 feet. There are simply far more appealing options in this price range.

A new PGA Tour course hosts a signature event the week before the year's second major. Here are betting favorites, odds and some expert wager ideas.

Scottie Scheffler is taking the week off after his win at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson last week, leaving Rory McIlroy as the clear favorite at +400 in the 2025 Truist Championship odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Collin Morikawa (+1400), Xander Schauffele (+1600), Justin Thomas (+1600) and Ludvig Aberg (+1600) are among the other top contenders.

The sixth Signature Event on the PGA Tour schedule unfolds this week with the 2025 Truist Championship. Formerly known as the Wells Fargo