New probability puzzle from columnist John Allen Paulos. Oct. 3, 2010 — -- During my summer hiatus from Who's Counting, a fascinating new paradox, first noticed by puzzle-meister Gary Foshee, ...

Four years after 2020 gave us an “election week,” voters are heading to the polls and wondering: How long will it take for states to count their ballots this year? Several dynamics have changed since ...

How likely you think something is to happen depends on what you already believe about the circumstances. That is the simple ...