The US market consensus believes the country has avoided recession, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes showing strong performance. However, yield curves remain deeply inverted, which traditionally ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

North American yield curves are experiencing the steepest inversion of the last 3 decades, while European yield curves have flattened significantly in 2022. In the world of fixed income investing, ...

Every yield curve "situation" has a series of people explaining why the yield curve doesn't matter this time, or arguing over which specific yield curve to care about. See thread and charts below.

Bull Steepening All yields fall, with short-term yields likely falling faster. Bond prices rise across the board. When the ...

Treasury yield simulations project 3‑month bills at 1%–2% in 10 years; curves show widening risk premiums, inversion odds and ...

Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...

NEW YORK (AP) — One of the more reliable warning signals for an economic recession started blinking again. The “yield curve” is watched for clues on how the bond market feels about the long-term ...

No foolproof formula predicts the economy in general or recessions in particular, but one of the indicator does a better job than the others: the yield curve. If one plots a chart of interest rates ...

A version of this article was published in the November 2015 issue of Morningstar ETFInvestor. Download a complimentary copy of ETFInvestor here. Flaw of Averages Duration, by itself, is a crude ...

Here at The Indicator we've been on recession watch ever since the yield curve inverted at the end of last year. For the uninitiated, the yield curve shows different interest rates on government bonds ...