They look to also be better than prediction markets. Analysis by Good Judgment, the organisation that pioneered superforecasting, has run the numbers and found that they have outperformed on average ...
New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...
Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to ...
Machine learning models can drive business operations to great benefit. But, to get there, stakeholders must determine how model probabilities trigger actions. The number crunching can't determine it ...
Research is casting prediction markets as policy-relevant forecasting tools just as state regulators escalate efforts to curtail their use.
Understanding Google Analytics 4 (GA4) isn’t optional – it’s essential for running high-performing PPC campaigns. The interface? Confusing. The modeling? New. The terminology? Often unclear. But ...
Robinhood Markets HOOD reports fourth-quarter results after market close on Tuesday, and traders on Polymarket are ...