Teams with Lock status have at least a 95% chance to make the tournament, according to the BPI forecast. (Yes, this means that 5% of the time, a team marked as a lock will miss the tourney. We set the threshold there as a nod to the traditional standard for significance testing.)

Selection Sunday is only a week away and will determine the 68-team field competing for the March Madness Naismith trophy, setting the stage for thrilling action. The NCAA Division I men's basketball 12 committee members follow a meticulous process when establishing the March Madness bracket.

Selection Sunday is around the corner for men’s college basketball. Before the 2025 NCAA tournament bracket is announced on March 16, some of the sport’s biggest names are still fighting to get off the bubble and into the field.